Official Enrollment Targets for 2004-05

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Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

Official Enrollment Planning Targets for 2004-05 -- Headcount and Full-Time Equivalent Students (FTES)

Adjusted February 21, 2004

The attached set of tables reflects the official enrollment targets for 2004-05. These are adjusted slightly from the revised draft targets distributed on February 2 to the Council of Academic Deans as a result of adjustments in new undergraduate admission targets made at the college level. Several principles have guided the development of these targets:

Acknowledgement of operating budget reductions – including an assigned enrollment target from the CSU that is 5 percent below the 2003-04 target. On January 26, we were working with an enrollment reduction of about 3 percent, or about 600 CY FTES. The target set by the CSU at the end of January brought the target down another 300 CY FTES – 16,218 as compared with our working target for 2003-04 of 17,072 CY FTES (as adjusted in July 2003).
Stabilization of academic year (AY) enrollment within the physical capacity of instructional facilities.
Stabilization of the size of the entering undergraduate class.
Adjustment of summer quarter, recognizing both costs and revenues associated with this term – by reducing enrollment targets for summer to zero, the instructional colleges will be able to use their reduced budgets to offer the most effective schedules for their students. (1)
To compensate for suspension of the state-supported Summer quarter, the Cal Poly Continuing Education program will increase its offerings, particularly to schedule classes that will help currently enrolled students progress in their degree programs. Further, it is important to recognize that this is a short-term action being taken due to budget circumstances, and that Cal Poly will resume full year-round operations. The Deans' Enrollment Planning Advisory Committee (DEPAC), which includes faculty and student representatives, is developing a focused plan for future summers.
Allocation of new headcount and FTES enrollments consistent with Phase I of the Master Plan.

(1) While summer targets are set at zero, some instructional colleges are still scheduling a few courses under special circumstances -- for example, to meet workload requirements for faculty whose regular appointments include summer, or to satisfy student requests for major courses supported by college-based fees.

Please see the attached guide to the numerical tables. For the convenience of those who have received earlier memoranda, I have kept the table designations and page numbers consistent. However, this distribution includes only the following tables:

Table E. Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2004-05 by Term – No Summer

Conversion of FTES into headcounts and student loads, by term for 2004-05.
Revised CY FTES and decision to set Summer targets at zero affected the distribution of students throughout the Academic Year terms.
Minor new adjustment to reflect college admission targets.

Table F. Official Headcount Enrollment Targets, Summer-Fall 2004

Allocation of students by college and level; subtracting continuing students to determine new student targets;
Distribution of new undergraduate students between freshmen and transfer students; and determination of numbers to be admitted through the MCA process.
Reallocation of continuing and new students from Summer results in significant adjustment of new undergraduate enrollment targets.
Minor new adjustment to reflect college admission targets, separating expected yield from Early Decision, and distinguishing admission targets for freshmen vs. upper division transfer students to be admitted through the Multi-Criteria Admission process (MCA).

Table G. Official CY FTES Targets by College and Term for CY 2003-04 and CY 2004-05

Allocation of FTES targets by college.
With Summer targets at zero, all FTES targets have been redistributed across Fall, Winter and Spring.
Minor new adjustment to reflect college admission targets, particularly the relative number of freshmen to be admitted by each college leads to some redistribution of FTES among the instructional units.

Table E. Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2004-05 by Term – No Summer

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

2004-05
Target Enrollments
(CSU "Assigned" or "Budgeted" Enrollment)
Actual (Bold) and Projected (Italics) Enrollments

Quarter HC Target FTES Target Load Assumptions HC (Actual/
Projected) FTES (Actual/ Projected) Load (Actual/ Projected) Assumptions for Targets

Summer

Total
-- -- --

Undergrad --

Post-bacc --

Fall

Total
17,981 16,834 14.0428
1.03853

Fall/AY FTES

Total Undergrad 16,991
1.10934

Fall HC/AY FTES

[Incl. New Freshmen] 3,016

[Incl. New Transfers 1&2] 788

Total Post-bacc 990
94.308%

% undergrad HC

[Incl. New Post-bacc 2] 349

0.96402

Adj. Winter/Fall HC

Winter

Total
17,334 16,407 14.1982
0.96320

Winter/Fall HC

Undergrad 16,305
Winter/Fall FTES

Post-bacc 1,029
94.062%

% undergrad HC

Spring

Total
16,737 15,413 13.8134
0.96558

Spring/Winter HC

Undergrad 15,690
Spring/Winter FTES

Post-bacc 1,048
93.740%

% undergrad HC

Annualized Summer FTES --

AY FTES 16,218

CYFTES - Campus Target 16,218

CYFTES - Assigned by CSU 16,218

Notes:

1. New undergrads include new 2nd-baccalaureate students.
2. New students include new transitory students.

Weighted 3-year averages based on 2000/01, 2001/02 & 2002-03 (or 2003-04 for Summer and Fall data).

Definitions:

HC (Headcount): Total number of individual students enrolled for a particular quarter.

FTES (Full-time equivalent students): Equal to the total student credit units taken by all students, divided by 15.

Summer (annualized): One-third of the enrollment for Summer Quarter.

AYFTES (Academic Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters.

CYFTES (College Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters, plus Summer quarter (annualized).

CYFTES - Budgeted: Enrollment level established by the CSU for operating budget support.

Target: Established by the University as a goal for CY, AY, and each quarter.

Actual (in bold): Enrollment on Census Date (28th day) of quarter.

Projected (in italics): Campus estimate of likely enrollment based on previous quarters. Projections are adjusted after Census Date for each subsequent quarter.

Assumptions: Unless noted otherwise, targets are based on the weighted average of the prior three similar quarters.

2004-05
For Fee Revenue Projections
(From Targets)
For Fee Revenue Projections
(Actual/Projected)

Quarter Headcount
Full Fee Headcount
Partial Fee
Assumptions
(% Full Fee)
Headcount
Full Fee Headcount
Partial Fee Calculations
(% Full Fee)

Summer
>8 units <=8 units (% >8 units) >8 units <=8 units (% >8 units)

Undergrad -- -- --

Post-bacc -- -- --

>6 units <=6 units (% >6 units) >6 units <=6 units (% >6 units)

Fall

Undergrad 16,770 221 98.70%

Post-bacc 779 211 78.71%

Winter

Undergrad 16,076 229 98.59%

Post-bacc 833 196 80.93%

Spring

Undergrad 15,380 309 98.03%

Post-bacc 815 233
77.76%

Table F. Official Headcount Enrollment Targets, Summer-Fall 2004

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

Estimated Undergraduate Student Population for Fall 2004
	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4	Column 5	Column 6	Column 7	Column 8a	Column 8b	Column 9	Column 10	Column 11
College	Master Plan, Ph. 1 % of Total	College Enroll. as % of Total	Adj. Fall 2004 UG Target Headcount	Adj. UG Cont. & Ret.	Adj. Total New UG	Adj. Est. Non-MCA FTF	Adj. Est. Non-MCA Transfers	Est. Early Decision FTF	Adj. Total Remaining MCA	Adj. Est. MCA FTF	Adj. Est. MCA Transfers	Total Apps for Fall 2004
CAGR	20.5%	20.7%	3,522	2,749	773	24	6	151	592	433	159	2,508
CAED	10.6%	10.9%	1,857	1,493	364	42	1	77	244	150	94	2,534
CBUS	13.3%	13.2%	2,244	1,818	426	41	16	72	297	240	57	4,697
CENG	27.3%	26.9%	4,574	3,473	1,101	104	6	170	821	737	84	6,246
CLA	14.6%	14.8%	2,516	1,951	565	32	30	49	454	280	174	6,857
CSM	10.7%	10.4%	1,761	1,341	420	28	16	65	311	265	46	4,119
LS*	2.3%	2.4%	403	324	79	8	14	7	50	41	9
Other	0.7%	0.7%	114	38	76		76		0			3
Totals	100.0%	100.0%	16,991	13,187	3,804	279	165	591	2,769	2,146	623	26,964
*Liberal Studies student projections are shown separately from the rest of the College of Liberal Arts.						Total FTF = 3,016

Estimated Post-bacc Student Population for Fall 2004							Notes: Column 1: Master Plan, Phase I enrollment distribution for undergraduate students. Column 2: Adjusted percentage to move from Fall 2003 toward Master Plan Phase I. Column 3: Column 1 percentage applied to undergrad total, adjusted for no summer. Column 4: Derived from three methods; includes estimates of internal changes of major. Column 5: Column 3 minus Column 4. Column 6: Based on recent years; includes admission prerogative. Column 7: Based on recent years; includes admission prerogative. Column 8a: Based on recent years; estimate of yield for Early Decision freshmen. Column 8b: Column 5 minus columns 6, 7 & 8; includes college specials. Column 9: As refined by colleges. Column 10: As refined by colleges. Column 11: Total undergraduate applications for Fall 2004, incl. early decision (1/23/04). Column 12: Column 13 plus column 14. Column 13: Based on recent years. Column 14: Consistent with past policy, units may admit additional qualified graduate students to the extent resources are available. Please note: Totals may be affected by rounding.
			Column 12	Column 13	Column 14
		College	Adj. Fall 2004 PB Target Headcount	Adj. Est. PB Cont.	Adj. Total New PB
		CAGR	111	72	39
		CAED	62	39	23
		CBUS	100	50	50
		CENG	212	141	71
		CLA	84	59	25
		CSM	80	57	23
		UCTE	312	209	103
		Other	29	14	15
		Totals	990	641	349

Estimated Total Student Population for Fall 2004
			*17,981*

Summer 2003 and 2004 New Undergraduate Students
	Column 15	Column 16	Column 17	Column 18	Column 19	Column 20	Column 21	Column 22	Column 23
	New Freshmen (includes College Specials)				New Transfers				Total
College	Summer 03 Admits	Fall 03 Admits, Enrolled Summer 03	Summer 03 Total	Summer 04 Admission Target	Summer 03 Admits	Fall 03 Admits, Enrolled Summer 03	Summer 03 Total	Summer 04 Admission Target	Summer 04 Admission Target
CAGR	49	11	60	0	58	9	67	0	0
CAED	0	14	14	0	0	1	1	0	0
CBUS	13	5	18	0	11	5	16	0	0
CENG	33	30	63	0	20	5	25	0	0
CLA	35	4	39	0	61	11	72	0	0
CSM	23	6	29	0	13	4	17	0	0
Totals	153	70	223	0	163	35	198	0	0

	Notes: Column 15: Freshmen admitted for Summer 03. Column 16: Freshmen admitted for Fall 03 who chose to enroll in Summer 03. Column 17: Total new freshmen enrolled in Summer 03. Column 18: No new enrollment target for Summer 04. Column 19: Transfers admitted for Summer 03. Column 20: Transfers admitted for Fall 03 who chose to enroll in Summer 03. Column 21: Total new transfer students enrolled in Summer 03. Column 22: No new enrollment target for Summer 04. Column 23: No new enrollment target for Summer 04.

Table G. Official CY FTES Targets by College and Term for CY 2003-04 and CY 2004-05

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

	FTES Targets for 2004-05 Adjusted for Enrollment Changes
College	1	2	3	4	5	6		Notes: Column 1: Summer FTES targets have been eliminated. Column 2: FTES targets by college for Fall are developed from the revised headcount enrollment target totals dated February 2, 2004. College proportions are based on three-year averages derived from actual enrollment patterns, adjusted for enrollment growth. Columns 3 and 4: FTES targets by college for Winter and Spring are based on three-year averages. Column 5: AY FTES targets by college are the average of the three terms. Column 6: CY FTES targets are the sum of Summer plus AY FTES.
College	Summer (annualized)	Fall	Winter	Spring	AY	CY Total
CAGR	0.0	1,830.3	1,821.7	1,841.2	1,831.0	1,831.0
CAED	0.0	1,082.1	1,034.5	1,051.3	1,056.0	1,056.0
CBUS	0.0	1,973.5	1,945.9	1,937.7	1,952.4	1,952.4
CENG	0.0	2,422.0	2,373.3	2,271.6	2,355.6	2,355.6
CLA	0.0	5,222.0	5,211.2	4,727.0	5,053.4	5,053.4
CSM	0.0	3,952.1	3,673.0	3,260.4	3,628.5	3,628.5
UCTE	0.0	295.1	301.6	283.4	293.3	293.3
ALL	0.0	56.8	45.9	40.4	47.7	47.7
Total	0.0	16,834.0	16,407.0	15,413.0	16,218.0	16,218.0

	FTES Targets by Term for 2003-04
College	7	8	9	10	11	12		Notes: Column 7: Summer FTES targets are based on average college shares for the previous three summers. Summer targets are "annualized" to be equivalent to CY FTES. Column 8: FTES targets by college for Fall are developed from the official headcount enrollment target totals dated March 6, 2003. College proportions are based on three-year averages derived from actual enrollment patterns. Columns 9 and 10: FTES targets by college for Winter and Spring are based on three-year averages. Column 11: AY FTES targets by college are the average of the three terms. Column 12: CY FTES targets are the sum of Summer plus AY FTES.
College	Summer (annualized)	Fall	Winter	Spring	AY	CY Total
CAGR	34.2	1,936.5	1,934.0	1,959.5	1,943.3	1,977.5
CAED	22.1	1,058.7	1,015.6	1,034.7	1,036.3	1,058.4
CBUS	144.8	1,959.4	1,938.5	1,935.2	1,944.4	2,089.1
CENG	103.7	2,324.5	2,285.5	2,193.1	2,267.7	2,371.4
CLA	312.1	5,242.9	5,250.0	4,774.1	5,089.0	5,401.1
CSM	162.1	3,961.2	3,694.1	3,287.3	3,647.5	3,809.7
UCTE	35.0	308.1	316.0	297.7	307.3	342.2
ALL	0.0	60.8	49.3	43.5	51.2	51.2
Total	814.0	16,852.0	16,483.0	15,525.0	16,286.7	17,100.7

	Difference Between 2003-04 and 2004-05 Targets, Based on Enrollment Changes
College	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	Notes: Column 13: Difference reflects target of zero for Summer 2004. Columns 14, 15, and 16: Differences between Targets for 2003-04 and Targets for 2004-05. Columns 17 and 18: Projected AY FTES and CY FTES differences. Column 19: CY FTES Percentage over or under To convert FTES to Student Credit Units (SCUs): For Summer, multiply annualized FTES * 3 * 15 For Fall, Winter and Spring, multiply FTES * 15
College	Summer (annualized)	Fall	Winter	Spring	AY	CY Total	CY % Over/(Under)
CAGR	(34.2)	(106.2)	(112.3)	(118.4)	(112.3)	(146.4)	-7.4%
CAED	(22.1)	23.4	18.9	16.6	19.7	(2.5)	-0.2%
CBUS	(144.8)	14.2	7.3	2.5	8.0	(136.8)	-6.5%
CENG	(103.7)	97.5	87.7	78.5	87.9	(15.8)	-0.7%
CLA	(312.1)	(20.9)	(38.8)	(47.1)	(35.6)	(347.7)	-6.4%
CSM	(162.1)	(9.1)	(21.1)	(26.9)	(19.0)	(181.1)	-4.8%
UCTE	(35.0)	(13.0)	(14.4)	(14.3)	(13.9)	(48.9)	-14.3%
ALL	0.0	(3.9)	(3.4)	(3.1)	(3.5)	(3.5)	-6.8%
Total	(814.0)	(18.0)	(76.0)	(112.0)	(68.7)	(882.7)	-5.2%
Please note: Totals may be affected by rounding.

Overview / Timeline
Annual enrollment and budget planning timelines.

Census Update (updated after each Census)
2004-05 Census Update

Targets vs. Actuals
Fall 2003 Targets vs. Actuals (October 30, 2003)

College Year Summary (updated after Spring Census)
Final Enrollment Data for 2003-04

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Last Updated: February 21, 2004
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