Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

Official Enrollment Targets for 2003-2004

March 6, 2003

The attached spreadsheets represent Cal Poly’s enrollment targets for 2003-2004. These targets and projections are derived from the CSU allocation to Cal Poly based on the Governor’s budget. IP&A has employed three different models to project continuing students, analyzed recent experience, and used a “steady-state” approach to set new enrollment targets. The Office of Admissions and the colleges have provided input to determine the appropriate mix of new students by program and level.

Table 1, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2003-2004

Table 2, Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2003-2004, for Fee Revenue Projections

Table 3, Official Headcount Enrollment Target, Fall 2003

Table 4, Official FTES Estimates by College for 2003-2004

Issues taken into consideration:

Fall targets:

Summer targets:

CY and quarterly FTES estimates:

Table 1, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2003-2004

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

			2001-2002 Actual Enrollments				2002-2003 Actual and Projected Enrollments				2003-2004 Projected Enrollments				Percent Change		Percent Change		Percent Change
			FINAL CY NUMBERS after Spring Census, May 10, 2002				Actual/Projected Enrollments after Winter Census, February 14, 2003				Official Enrollment Targets/Projections March 2003				2000-01 to 2001-02		2001-02 to 2002-03		2002-03 to 2003-04
Quarter			HC (Actual)	FTES (Actual)	Load (Actual)		HC (Actual/ Projected)	FTES (Actual/ Projected)	Load (Actual/ Projected)		HC (Target)	FTES (Projected)	Load (Projected)		HC	FTES	HC	FTES	HC	FTES
Summer	Total		4,077	2,364	8.70		4,739	2,713	8.59		4,216	2,442	8.69		10.6%	6.0%	16.2%	14.8%	-11.0%	-10.0%
Undergrad			3,826				4,448				3,942
Post-bacc			251				291				274
Fall	Total		18,079	16,745	13.89		18,453	17,274	14.04		18,100	16,852	13.97		7.1%	7.3%	2.1%	3.2%	-1.9%	-2.4%
Total Undergrad			17,066				17,401				17,120
[New Undergrad 1&2]			4,591				3,718				3,490
Total Post-bacc			1,013				1,052				980
[New Post-bacc 2]			334				360				327
Winter	Total		17,543	15,240	13.95		17,843	16,868	14.18		17,533	16,483	14.10		7.1%	7.8%	1.7%	2.7%	-1.7%	-2.3%
Undergrad			16,516				16,749				16,471
Post-bacc			1,027				1,094				1,062
Spring	Total		17,033	14,464	13.76		17,133	15,528	13.84		16,905	15,525	13.78		8.1%	8.2%	0.6%	0.6%	-1.3%	-1.3%
Undergrad			15,983				16,045				15,842
Post-bacc			1,050				1,088				1,063
Annualized Summer FTES				788				904				814				6.0%		14.8%		-10.0%
AY FTES				16,272				16,626				16,286				7.7%		2.2%		-2.0%
CYFTES - Actual/Projected				17,060				17,530				17,100				7.7%		2.8%		-2.5%
CYFTES - Budgeted				16,205				16,800				17,420				1.2%		3.7%		3.7%
Actual/Projected: Budgeted				5.28%	over (under)			4.35%	over (under)			-1.83%	over (under)
Notes:			1 New undergrads include new 2nd-baccalaureate students.				2 New students include new transitory.
Definitions: HC (Headcount): Total number of individual students enrolled for a particular quarter. FTES (Full-time equivalent students): Equal to the total student credit units taken by all students, divided by 15. Summer (annualized): One-third of the enrollment for Summer Quarter. AYFTES (Academic Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters. CYFTES (College Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters, plus Summer quarter (annualized). CYFTES - Budgeted: Enrollment level established by the CSU for operating budget support. Target: Established by the University as a planning guide. Actual: Enrollment on Census Date (28th day) of quarter. Projected: Campus estimate of likely enrollment based on previous quarters. Projections are adjusted after each Census Date. Assumptions: Assumptions for targets based on the weighted 3-year averages.

Table 2, Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2003-2004, for Fee Revenue Projections

Table 3, Official Headcount Enrollment Target, Fall 2003

Estimated Undergraduate Student Population for Fall 2003
	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4	Column 5	Column 6	Column 7	Column 8	Column 9	Column 10	Column 11
College	College Enrollment as % of Total	Fall 2003 UG Target Headcount	Estimated UG Continuing	Estimated UG Total Returning	Total New UG	Estimated Non-MCA FTF	Estimated Non-MCA Transfers	Total New MCA	MCA FTF	MCA Transfers	Total Apps for Fall 2003
CAGR	20.6%	3,530	2,822	17	691	38	7	646	519	127	2,064
CAED	10.3%	1,758	1,374	12	372	31	3	338	237	101	2,226
CBUS	14.0%	2,390	1,913	7	470	61	12	397	341	56	4,223
CENG	26.8%	4,592	3,579	10	1,003	114	4	885	752	133	6,108
CLA	17.4%	2,984	2,438	19	527	70	38	419	314	105	6,651
CSM	10.2%	1,748	1,397	6	345	26	4	315	274	41	3,470
Other	0.7%	118	33	3	82	0	82	0	0	0	0
Total	100.0%	17,120	13,556	74	3,490	340	150	3,000	2,437	563	24,742
Post-baccalaureate Headcount					Column 1: Adjusted percentage to move from Fall 2002 toward Master Plan phase I enrollment distribution. Column 2: Column 1 percentage applied to undergraduate total. Column 3: Derived from three methods; includes esetimates of internal changes of major. Column 4: Based on recent experience. Column 5: Column 2 minus Columns 3 and 4. Column 6: Based on recent years; includes admission includes admission prerogative. Column 7: Based on recent years. Column 8: Column 5 minus columns 6 and 7; includes early decision. Column 9: Completed by colleges, including shift from summer 03 to fall 03. Column 10: Completed by colleges. Column 11: Total applications for fall 2003, including early decision (as of 1/27/03). Column 12: Column 13 plus column 14. Column 13: Based on recent years. Column 14: Based on recent years.
	Column 12	Column 13	Column 14
College	Fall 2003 PB Target Headcount	Estimated PB Continuing	Total New PB
CAGR	107	70	37
CAED	66	41	25
CBUS	108	56	52
CENG	203	138	65
CLA	86	61	25
CSM	83	62	21
*UCTE	292	205	87
Other	36	20	16
Total	980	653	327
Estimated Total Student Population for Fall 2003 18,100					Please note: Totals may be affected by rounding.

Table 4, Official FTES Estimates by College for 2003-2004

In order to assist colleges with enrollment and course planning, IP&A has prepared these FTES estimates. Please note that these estimates represent the FTES that would need to be taught to achieve Cal Poly's enrollment target for 2003-04. As in prior years, actual enrollment may vary from one term to the next.

Please note that these estimates are below actual FTES enrollments for 2002-03, in order to reduce total enrollment for the college year.

Please note: Totals may be affected by rounding.

Notes:

Overview / Timeline
Annual enrollment and budget planning timelines.