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Targets

Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

 

Official Enrollment Targets for 2002-2003

March 14, 2002

The attached spreadsheets present Cal Poly's enrollment targets for 2002-03.

Table 1, Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2002-03

Table 2, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2002-03

Table 3, Official Enrollment Projections and Targets, Fall 2002

These targets and projections are arrived at by taking into consideration the projected CSU budget allocation, employing models to project continuing students, analyzing recent experience, and using Admissions data to determine the appropriate mix of new students.

Several issues, listed below, are provided to assist in setting the context for the projections and targets.

 Table 1, Official Enrollment Targets for College Year 2002-03

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

2002-2003

OFFICIAL Enrollment Targets
(set after Winter Census, February 15, 2002)

        
Quarter   HC Target FTES Target Load Assumptions           Assumptions for Targets
 
Summer
Total
   4,104  2,436 8.90284            
  Undergrad 3,808        92.772% % undergrad HC
Post-bacc 296     
 
Fall 
Total
   17,880  16,560 13.8925            
 Total Undergrad 16,860         
 [Incl. New Undergrad 1&2] 3,624     
 Total Post-bacc 1,020    94.225%  % undergrad HC
 [Incl. New Post-bacc 2] 335     
 
Winter
Total
   17,353 16,205  14.0075           0.97054  Winter/Fall HC
 Undergrad 16,302         
 Post-bacc 1,051    94.225%  % undergrad HC
         
Spring
Total
   16,663  15,300 13.7729           0.96020  Spring/Winter HC
 Undergrad 15,604         
 Post-bacc 1,059    93.649%  % undergrad HC
          
Annualized Summer FTES     812                   
AY FTES 16,021     
CYFTES - Campus Target 16,833    
CYFTES - Assigned by CSU 16,800     
 

Notes:

  
1. New undergrads include new 2nd-baccalaureate students.
2. New students include new transitory students.
    
 
Weighted 3-year averages based on 1999/00, 2000/01 & 2001/02.

Definitions:

  • HC (Headcount): Total number of individual students enrolled for a particular quarter.
  • FTES (Full-time equivalent students): Equal to the total student credit units taken by all students, divided by 15.
  • Summer (annualized): One-third of the enrollment for Summer Quarter.
  • AYFTES (Academic Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters.
  • CYFTES (College Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters, plus Summer quarter (annualized).
  • CYFTES - Budgeted: Enrollment level established by the CSU for operating budget support.
  • Target: Established by the University as a goal for CY, AY, and each quarter.
  • Actual (in bold): Enrollment on Census Date (28th day) of quarter.
  • Projected: Campus estimate of likely enrollment based on previous quarters. Projections are adjusted after Census Date for each subsequent quarter. (See the most recent projection.)
  • Assumptions: Unless noted otherwise, assumptions for developing targets are based on the weighted average of the prior three similar quarters.

2002-2003 For Fee Revenue Projections
(from Targets)		 For Fee Revenue Projections (Actual/Projected) Comparison between Actual Enrollment and Targets
Quarter
 Headcount
Full Fee		 Headcount
Partial Fee
Assumptions
Headcount
Full Fee		 Headcount
Partial Fee		 Calculations Full Fee Partial Fee
 
Summer (see note) >8 units <=8 units (% >8 units) >8 units <=8 units (% >8 units) >8 units <=8 units
  Undergrad 1,504    2,304 39.49%          
Post-bacc 51 245 17.13%          

 
Summer (see note)
>6 units <=6 units (% >6 units) >6 units <=6 units (% >6 units) >6 units <=6 units
  Undergrad 2,817 991 73.98%          
Post-bacc 126 170 42.73%          
Fall
 Undergrad 16,603        257 98.47%          
 Post-bacc 779 241 76.42%          
Winter
 Undergrad 16,030   272 98.33%          
 Post-bacc 827 224 78.69%          
Spring
 Undergrad 15,227 378 97.58%          
 Post-bacc 817 242
77.17%
         

Note: Full-time for fee purposes equals enrollment in more than six units per quarter, except for summer courses, where full-time for fee purposes equals enrolled in more than eight units. This spreadsheet displays both more than six and more than eight units for summer quarter.

 

Table 2, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2002-03

  2000-2001 Actual Enrollments   2001-2002 Actual and Projected Enrollments   2002-2003 Projected Enrollments   Percent Change Percent Change Percent Change
 
FINAL CY NUMBERS
after Spring Census, May 10, 2001
  Actual/Projected Enrollments
after Winter Census, February 15, 2002		   Official Enrollment Targets    1999-00 to 2000-01 2000-01 to 2001-02 2001-02 to 2002-03
Quarter   HC (Actual) FTES (Actual) Load (Actual)   HC
(Actual/ Projected)		 FTES
(Actual/ Projected)		 Load
(Actual/ Projected)		   HC
(Target)		 FTES
(Target)		 Load
(Target)		   HC FTES HC FTES HC FTES
 
Summer
Total
   3,686  2,230 9.07   4,077  2,364 8.70   4,104  2,436  8.9028   -6.1% -7.6% 10.6% 6.0% 0.7% 3.0%
  Undergrad 3,383    3,826    3,808         
Post-bacc 303  251  296 
 
Fall 
Total
   16,877  15,606  13.87   18,079  16,745  13.89   17,880  16,560  13.8925   2.5% 2.0% 7.1% 7.3% -1.1% -1.1%
 Total Undergrad 15,867    17,066    16,860         
 [New Undergrad*] 3,985  4,591  3,624 
 Total Post-bacc 1,010  1,013  1,020 
 [New Post-bacc] 338  334  335 
 
Winter
Total
   16,381  15,240  13.95   17,543  16,424  14.04   17,353  16,205 14.0075   2.4% 2.1% 7.1% 7.8% -1.1% -1.3%
 Undergrad 15,356    16,516    16,302        
 Post-bacc 1,025  1,027  1,051 
         
Spring
Total
   15,763  14,464  13.76   16,835  15,528  13.84   16,663  15,300  13.7729   3.1% 2.9% 6.8% 7.4% -1.0% -1.5%
 Undergrad 14,761    15,769    15,604         
 Post-bacc 1,002  1,066  1,059 
          
Annualized Summer FTES     743        788        812        -7.6%   9.2%   3.0%
AY FTES 15,103  16,232 16,021  2.3% 6.1% -1.3%
CYFTES - Actual/Projected 15,847 17,020  16,833  1.8% 6.2% -1.1%
CYFTES - Budgeted 16,010  16,205  16,800  0.8% 4.9% 3.7%
Actual/Projected: Budgeted -1.02% 5.03% 0.20%      
 

Notes:

  *New undergrads include new 2nd-baccalaureate students.    
 
Quarter-to-quarter ratios and loads for projections based on weighted 3-year averages.
   

Definitions:

  • HC (Headcount): Total number of individual students enrolled for a particular quarter.
  • FTES (Full-time equivalent students): Equal to the total student credit units taken by all students, divided by 15.
  • Summer (annualized): One-third of the enrollment for Summer Quarter.
  • AYFTES (Academic Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters.
  • CYFTES (College Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters, plus Summer quarter (annualized).
  • CYFTES - Budgeted: Enrollment level established by the CSU for operating budget support.
  • Target: Established by the University as a goal for CY, AY, and each quarter.
  • Actual: Enrollment on Census Date (28th day) of quarter.
  • Projected: Campus estimate of likely enrollment based on previous quarters. Projections are adjusted after Census Date for each subsequent quarter. (See the most recent projection.)
  • Assumptions: Unless noted otherwise, assumptions for developing targets are based on the weighted average of the prior three similar quarters.


Table 3, Official Enrollment Projections and Targets, Fall 2002

 

Undergraduate Headcount
  Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 Column 10 Column 11
College Adjusted Fall % Enrollment by College Fall 2002 UG Target Headcount Estimated UG Continuing Estimated UG Total Returning Total New UG Estimated Non-MCA FTF Estimated Non-MCA Transfers Estimated College Specials Total New MCA Target MCA FTF Target MCA Transfers
CAGR 20.6% 3,476 2,684 18 774 19 6 2 747 596 151
CAED 10.1% 1,708 1,275 11 422 16 1 0 405 302 103
CBUS 14.4% 2,430 2,046 6 378 54 10 8 306 275 31
CENG 26.7% 4,505 3,442 10 1,053 89 3 0 961 813 148
CLA 17.3% 2,919 2,382 22 515 45 24 2 444 324 120
CSM 10.1% 1,704 1,301 10 393 20 4 5 364 326 38
Other 0.7% 118 27 2 89 0 89 0 0 0 0
Total 100.0% 16,860 13,157 79 3,624 243 137 17 3,227 2,636 591
 
Post-baccalaureate Headcount  

Column 1: Percent adjusted to move from Fall 2001 distribution toward future/steady state.
Column 2: 16,860 with Column 1 percentage applied.
Column 3: Continuing student estimates.
Column 4: Estimates based on recent experience.
Column 5: Column 2 minus Columns 3 and 4.
Column 6: Estimates from actuals for Fall 2001.
Column 7: Estimates from actuals for Fall 2001.
Column 8: Estimates based on recent experience.
Column 9: Column 5 minus columns 6, 7, and 8.
Column 10: Target MCA FTF from Admissions Worksheet 2 (includes early decision).
Column 11: Target MCA Transfers from Admissions Worksheet 2.
Column 12: Column 13 plus column 14 equals column 12.
Column 13 : Estimates based on recent experience.
Column 14 : Estimates based on recent experience.
  Column 12 Column 13 Column 14
College Fall 2002
PB Target Headcount		 Estimated PB Continuing Total
New PB
CAGR 100 70 30
CAED 20 30 20
CBUS 125 65 60
CENG 160 110 50
CLA 90 65 25
CSM 85 65 20
UCTE 370 260 110
Other 40 20 20
Total 1,020 685 335



Overview / Timeline
Annual enrollment and budget planning timelines.

Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

Census Update (updated after each Census)
2004-05 Census Update

Targets vs. Actuals
Fall 2003 Targets vs. Actuals (October 30, 2003)

College Year Summary (updated after Spring Census)
Final Enrollment Data for 2003-04

 

 

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Last Updated: March 20, 2002
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