I P and A logoCommon Data SetPublicationsODIN Data ProvidersFederal ReportingTargetsPublicationsFact BookData and ReportingWhere to FindAbout IP&ABack to Cal Poly Home PageBack to IP and A Home PageIP and A Logo, Back to IP and A Home PagePoly ViewInfo BriefPoly Trends

You are here: Cal Poly Home Page > IP&A Home Page > Targets > 2001-02 Enrollment Targets

Targets

Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

 

Official Enrollment Targets for 2001-2002

March 8, 2001

The attached spreadsheets present Cal Poly's enrollment targets for 2001-02.

Table 1, Enrollment Summary: History and Projections, shows Cal Poly's most recent enrollment history, projections for the remainder of the current year (2000-01), and targets for next year (2001-02). This table covers a range of enrollment measures, including college year and academic year full-time equivalent students (CY and AY FTES) and summer FTES, headcount and course load. In addition, because Cal Poly admits most students for Fall quarter and experiences its highest enrollment during Fall term, Table 1 shows Fall total headcounts, continuing students and new students, including entering freshmen. Finally, Table 1 shows degrees awarded for each complete college year and the proportion of students who live on campus.

Table 2, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2001-2002, shows detail by term for last year, this year and next year. The right hand columns show the change by term from year to year. For example, although summer enrollment fell by 7.8 percent from summer 1999 to summer 2000, the college year enrollment has grown by 1.5 percent.

Table 3, Projections/Targets Fall 2001 by College/Unit, shows continuing and returning student projections and new enrollment targets by college/unit for both undergraduate and post-baccalaureate students.

Background: The following notes may be helpful in understanding Cal Poly's enrollment history and targets:

  • Cal Poly's enrollment is currently below our physical capacity (15,000 CY FTES) as established by the California Postsecondary Education Commission. Our highest enrollment to date was in Fall 1990; we have been below ever since. Enrollment in 2001-02 will still be below our current physical capacity. (The physical capacity of the campus is calculated based on usage of on-campus facilities, with an expectation that the class day starts at 7 a.m. and concludes at 10 p.m. It excludes supervision courses that are not scheduled in specific places.)
  • During the past decade our enrollment has sometimes exceeded the budgeted target and sometimes been below - with a range from 98% (in 1999-00) to 109% (in 1992-93, when funds were reduced dramatically during the state's fiscal crisis). We have not been penalized for under-enrollment in the past; and we have sometimes received supplemental (one-time) funds when we have exceeded target by more than 2%. During 2000-01 we estimate that enrollment will be about 1.3 percent below target.
  • Given the general enrollment demand represented by Tidal Wave II, we are expected by the CSU to accommodate additional students until we reach our current physical capacity.
  • Further, due to the impacted status of our undergraduate programs, the CSU has indicated that under-enrollment (below budgeted target) is not acceptable.
  • Late each fall, the California State University System sets an enrollment target for the campus for the college year - summer, fall, winter, and spring. We receive enrollment growth funds each year for the increment. These funds are added to the campus base budget.
  • While the 2001-02 budget has not yet been established, Cal Poly will receive enrollment growth funding for the new budgeted enrollment. It is important to remember that Cal Poly has already received funds for 2000-01 budgeted enrollment, even though we are below target. Thus, the difference in the new funding will cover the difference between 16,205 and 16,010 CYFTES - or 195 CYFTES (see Table 2, CY FTES Budgeted). The Provost's Office will receive and allocate a substantial share of enrollment growth funds directly to the colleges to support additional instruction.
  • As part of our campus Long-Range Enrollment Plan and Master Plan process we have looked very closely at enrollment issues - with significant contributions from the Academic Senate, especially the Budget and Long-Range Planning Committee, and the Deans' Enrollment Planning Advisory Committee. That process generated the campus enrollment growth plan for the next twenty years, subject to capital and operating budget funding.
  • In the meantime, as we still have growth capacity to our present master plan limit, we had proposed a gradual rate of growth to 2004, expecting that new instructional facilities would be ready for occupancy in 2005. The first new student housing is scheduled for opening in Fall 2002.
  • The Cal Poly administration has explained these issues to the CSU. However, the CSU still asked Cal Poly to take a higher number of new enrollments for 2001-02. This directive will bring us to capacity sooner than we had planned.
  • The proportion of new freshmen admitted (as compared with upper division transfer students) affects the number of sections of General Education, support and other "bottleneck" courses that need to be taught. Over the past decade the applicant pool for freshmen has been increasingly strong. Nevertheless, consistent with California's Master Plan for Higher Education, CSU campuses are expected to admit qualified transfer applicants. Thus, the Office of Admissions has worked with the colleges to decrease the percentage of new freshmen as compared to transfer students for Fall 2001.
  • There is a critical relationship between summer and academic year enrollment. If we were able to depend on a more successful summer program, we could distribute increases in enrollments over four quarters instead of three. However, summer enrollment has been disappointing during the past two years. We are making concerted efforts to increase summer enrollments, but fall admissions occur long before summer enrollments are known.
  • Rates for continuing students have been below projections the past two Fall terms due, in part, to an increase in graduation rates.
  • Therefore, we have had to make conservative assumptions about summer and continuing student rates in calculating the number of new students to admit. Further, to provide a margin of error for not coming in below our budgeted target for 2001-02, we have set a campus target a little over 2% above budget.
  • Cal Poly recognizes that housing is a critical concern, and is taking several steps to alleviate it. One includes a summer Jump Start program for new freshmen that will allow them to apply for summer and fall housing together if they agree to enroll in two courses in a special five-week summer session. This session will also enable them to take some of the General Education, support and/or major courses that might be bottlenecks in the Fall. Another step involves negotiating arrangements with the private housing providers near Cal Poly so that they can accommodate students not housed on campus. Recent data on Cuesta College enrollments show that the proportion of new students from outside the area was smaller in Fall 2000. Cuesta officials believe this is a trend. If so, this will reduce competition for student housing.

 Table 1, Enrollment Summary: History and Projections

Note: Large tables print best if paper orientation is set to "Landscape."

 
Winter
Census
Official
 
 Fiscal Year (College Year)
Peak Year
Enrollment History
Last Year
This Year
Next Year
 
 
90-91
91-92
92-93
93-94
94-95
95-96
96-97
97-98
98-99
99-00
00-01
01-02
 
a.
 CYFTES: CSU Budgeted/Projected
16,250
16,400
13,957
14,300
14,589
14,789
15,064
15,214
15,569
15,879
16,010
16,205
b.
 CYFTES: Cal Poly Campus Target
 
 
 
 
14,149
14,801
15,377
15,430
15,653
15,987
16,094
16,564
c.
 CYFTES: Actual/Projected
16,892
16,504
15,213
14,423
14,401
15,101
15,825
15,759
15,432
15,565
15,805
16,564
 
d.
 CYFTES Growth Rate: Actual/Projected
 
-2.3%
-7.8%
-5.2%
-0.2%
4.9%
4.8%
-0.4%
-2.1%
0.9%
1.5%
2.5%
e.
 CYFTES: Actual > Budgeted
104.0%
100.6%
109.0%
100.9%
98.7%
102.1%
105.1%
103.6%
99.1%
98.0%
98.7%
102.2%
 
f.
 AYFTES: Actual/Projected
15,484
15,209
14,109
13,618
13,754
14,455
15,148
14,988
14,598
14,760
15,062
15,802
g.
 AYFTES Growth Rate: Actual/Projected
 
-1.8%
-7.2%
-3.5%
1.0%
5.1%
4.8%
-1.1%
-2.6%
1.1%
2.0%
4.9%
h.
 Estimated net AYFTES (for facility planning)
 
 
 
 
 
 
14,213
14,023
13,723
14,031
14,226
14,923
 
i.
 Summer FTES (annualized) (Actual/Projected)
1,408
1,295
1,104
805
647
646
677
771
834
805
743
762
j.
 Summer Growth Rate
 
-8.1%
-14.8%
-27.1%
-19.6%
-0.1%
4.8%
13.8%
8.2%
-3.5%
-7.6%
2.5%
k.
 Summer FTES as Percentage of AY
27.3%
25.5%
23.5%
17.7%
14.1%
13.4%
13.4%
15.4%
17.1%
16.4%
14.8%
14.5%
l.
 Summer FTES as Percentage of CY
8.3%
7.8%
7.3%
5.6%
4.5%
4.3%
4.3%
4.9%
5.4%
5.2%
4.7%
4.6%
m.
 Summer Headcount: Actual/Projected
6,464
6,043
5,320
4,125
3,377
3,344
3,449
3,875
4,088
3,926
3,686
3,750
n.
 Summer Course Load (average)
9.80
9.64
9.34
8.78
8.62
8.70
8.84
8.95
9.18
9.22
9.07
9.14
o.
 Summer HC as Percentage of Fall Headcount
36.4%
34.4%
32.5%
26.7%
21.9%
20.9%
20.3%
23.2%
25.1%
23.8%
21.8%
21.2%
 
p.
 Fall FTES
15,889
15,679
14,822
14,073
14,115
14,734
15,636
15,463
15,121
15,301
15,606
16,370
q.
 Fall Student Load
13.42
13.38
13.58
13.67
13.71
13.79
13.80
13.86
13.92
13.94
13.87
13.90
r.
 Fall Headcount: Actual/Projected
17,758
17,573
16,377
15,447
15,440
16,023
17,000
16,735
16,296
16,470
16,877
17,666
 
s.
 Fall Continuing and Returning Students (same major)
14,739
14,417
13,628
12,248
11,676
11,764
12,537
13,339
12,900
12,498
12,554
12,710
t.
 New Students (Fall Headcount): Actual/Projected
3,019
3,156
2,749
3,199
3,764
4,259
4,463
3,396
3,396
3,972
4,323
4,956
u.
 New Students as Percentage of Fall Headcount
17.0%
18.0%
16.8%
20.7%
24.4%
26.6%
26.3%
20.3%
20.8%
23.6%
25.6%
28.1%
v.
 New Undergraduates (Fall Headcount)
2,664
2,821
2,462
2,873
3,417
3,924
4,125
3,092
3,069
3,656
3,985
4,596
w.
 New First-time Freshmen (Fall Headcount)
1,652
1,578
1,328
1,646
2,102
2,507
2,827
2,160
2,305
2,716
3,111
3,516
x.
 New First-time Freshmen as % of New Undergraduates
62.0%
55.9%
53.9%
57.3%
61.5%
63.9%
68.5%
69.9%
75.1%
74.3%
78.1%
76.5%
 
y.

Bachelor's Degrees Awarded
2,710
3,392
3,312
3,406
3,067
3,048
2,817
3,148
3,331
3,540
 
 
z.
 Master's Degrees Awarded (no Credentials)
263
303
321
310
290
324
320
315
254
285
 
 
aa.
 Total Degrees Awarded
2,973
3,695
3,633
3,716
3,357
3,372
3,137
3,463
3,585
3,825
 
 
 
ab.
 Student Housing on Campus (Beds)
2,795
2,795
2,361
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
2,783
ac.
 Percentage of Students Housed on Campus
15.7%
15.9%
14.4%
18.0%
18.0%
17.4%
16.4%
16.6%
17.1%
16.9%
16.5%
15.8%

Table 2, Comparison of Recent Past Enrollments with Targets for 2001-2002

  1999-2000 Actual Enrollments   2000-2001 Actual/Projected Enrollments   2001-2002 Projected Enrollments   Percent Change Percent Change Percent Change
 
FINAL CY NUMBERS
after Spring Census, May 4, 2000
  Actual/Projected Enrollments
after Winter Census, February 16, 2001		   Official Enrollment Targets    1998-99 to 1999-00 1999-00 to 2000-01 2000-01 to 2001-02
Quarter   HC (Actual) FTES (Actual) Load (Actual)   HC
(Actual/ Projected)		 FTES
(Actual/ Projected)		 Load
(Actual/ Projected)		   HC
(Target)		 FTES
(Target)		 Load
(Target)		   HC FTES HC FTES HC FTES
 
Summer
Total
   3,926  2,414 9.22   3,686  2,230 9.07   3,750  2,286  9.14   -4.0% -3.5% -6.1% -7.6% 1.7% 2.5%
  Undergrad 3,594    3,383    3,448         
Post-bacc 332  303  302 
 
Fall 
Total
   16,470  15,301 13.94   16,877  15,606  13.87   17,666  16,370  13.90   1.1% 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 4.7% 4.9%
 Total Undergrad 15,503    15,867    16,602         
 [New Undergrad*] 3,656  3,985  4,596 
 Total Post-bacc 967  1,010  1,064 
 [New Post-bacc] 316  338  360 
 
Winter
Total
   15,992 14,923  14.00   16,381  15,240  13.95   17,132  15,986 14.00   1.4% 1.1% 2.4% 2.1% 4.6% 4.9%
 Undergrad 14,989    15,356    16,065        
 Post-bacc 1,003  1,025  1,067 
         
Spring
Total
   15,286  14,057 13.79   15,679  14,340  13.72   16,397  15,050  13.77   1.0% 1.1% 2.6% 2.0% 4.6% 5.0%
 Undergrad 14,309    14,699    15,367         
 Post-bacc 977  980  1,029 
          
Annualized Summer FTES     805        743        762        -3.5%   -7.6%   2.5%
AY FTES 14,760  15,062 15,802  1.1% 2.0% 4.9%
CYFTES - Actual/Projected 15,565 15,805  16,564  0.9% 1.5% 4.8%
CYFTES - Budgeted 15,879  16,010  16,205  2.0% 0.8% 1.2%
Actual/Projected: Budgeted -1.98% -1.28% 2.22%      
 

Notes:
*New undergrads include new 2nd-baccalaureate students.

 
Quarter-to-quarter ratios and loads for projections based on weighted 3-year averages for 1996/7, 1997/8, and 1998/9.
 
Quarter-to-quarter ratios and loads for projections are based on weighted 3-year averages for 1997/8, 1998/9, and 1999/0.
 
Quarter-to-quarter ratios and loads for projections are based on weighted 3-year averages for 1998/9, 1999/0, and 2000/1.
   

Definitions:

  • HC (Headcount): Total number of individual students enrolled for a particular quarter.
  • FTES (Full-time equivalent students): Equal to the total student credit units taken by all students, divided by 15.
  • Summer (annualized): One-third of the enrollment for Summer Quarter.
  • AYFTES (Academic Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters.
  • CYFTES (College Year FTES): Average FTES for Fall, Winter, and Spring quarters, plus Summer quarter (annualized).
  • CYFTES - Budgeted: Enrollment level established by the CSU for operating budget support.
  • Target: Established by the University as a goal for CY, AY, and each quarter.
  • Actual: Enrollment on Census Date (28th day) of quarter.
  • Projected: Campus estimate of likely enrollment based on previous quarters. Projections are adjusted after Census Date for each subsequent quarter. (See the most recent projection.)
  • Assumptions: Unless noted otherwise, assumptions for developing targets are based on the weighted average of the prior three similar quarters.


Table 3, Projections/Targets Fall 2001 by College/Unit

 

Undergraduate Headcount
College Continuing Returning Smae Major Early Decision MCA FTF MCA Transfers ***MCA Total ****MCA % FTF Non-MCA Coll Spec UG Total
 
CAGR 2,634 20 153 521 173 847 79.6% 18 4 3,523
CAED 1,178 11 67 265 122 454 73.1% 30 1 1,674
CBUS 1,661 8 73 260 193 526 63.3% 60 10 2,265
CENG 3,002 13 245 794 185 1,224 84.9% 75 0 4,314
CLA 2,315 18 72 356* 156* 656** 65.2% 92 3 3,084
CSM 1,108 10 67 297 72 436 83.5% 52 3 1,609
Other 27 1 0 0 0 0 0.0% 105 0 133
Total 11,925 81 677 2,493 901 4,143 76.5% 432 21 16,602
 

Notes:

*These totals do not include 72 new MCA students in Art and Music. The random nature of Art and Music FTF to Transfer ratios prevent an accurate prediction for FTF and Transfers. Art and Music students are selected by portfolio review and audition and do not compete in the regular MCA process. The breakdown between FTF and Trans will not be known until portfolio reviews and auditions are complete in April 2001.
**The MCA total for Liberal Arts does include Art and Music FTF and Transfers.
***MCA Total includes Early Decision , MCA FTF, and MCA Transfers.
****MCA percentage FTF includes Early Decision and MCA FTF.
Second Baccs are included in Admissions MCA transfer targets but not in UG continuing projections.
 
Post-baccalaureate Headcount
  Continuing & Returning New PB Total
 
CAGR 67 30 97
CAED 25 20 45
CBUS 91 45 136
CENG 113 50 163
CLA 65 25 90
CSM 65 35 100
UCTE 256 140 396
Other 22 15 37
Total 704 630 1,064
 
The total estimated new Undergraduate student enrollment for Fall 2001 = 4,596
 
The total estimated enrollment for Fall 2001 = 17,666
 

Sources: Continuing students, Ratio method, NewcontLCD.xls, 1/7/01. Zingg memo, New MCA Annualized Enrollment Targets by College for 2001-02, 1/18/01. Admission Enrollment Target Worksheet #2, revised 2/23/01.



Overview / Timeline
Annual enrollment and budget planning timelines.

Official Enrollment Targets
2005-2006 Enrollment Targets (February 28, 2005)
2004-2005 Enrollment Targets (February 21, 2004)
2003-2004 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2003)
2002-2003 Enrollment Targets (March 14, 2002)
2001-2002 Enrollment Targets (March 8, 2001)
2000-2001 Enrollment Targets (March 6, 2000)
1999-2000 Enrollment Targets (January 20, 1999)

Census Update (updated after each Census)
2004-05 Census Update

Targets vs. Actuals
Fall 2003 Targets vs. Actuals (October 30, 2003)

College Year Summary (updated after Spring Census)
Final Enrollment Data for 2003-04

 

 

IP&A Home Page | Data and Reporting | Publications and Studies | Targets | About IP&A

Last Updated: October 30, 2001
Email us: inststdy@polymail.calpoly.edu

 

The web pages for Institutional Planning and Analysis are "Bobby Approved"

Bobby Approved (v 3.2)